Leaderboard / Over time

Compiled by Spring Prompt

Models over time

Who ships how often, what's due next, and how fast the best models are improving. Hover any dot for the model, date and source.

Launches
244
Providers
14
From
17 Jan 2024
Latest
GPT-6.1 Sol, 29 Sep 2026

Every launch

One row per provider. Bigger dots are larger models. Hollow dots are where a line's next launch would land if it keeps its average pace.

2024Jul2025Jul2026Jul2027 OpenAI Mistral Alibaba Anthropic Google DeepSeek xAI Meta Z.ai Moonshot AI Microsoft MiniMax Amazon Xiaomi

Shipping faster: 68 days between launches in Q2 2024, 35 in Q3 2026

How often each of the ten main providers ships a new model, on average, quarter by quarter. Larger models only: every 136 days then, every 61 now. Counted as days in the quarter over launches, so one long gap cannot skew it; same-day launches count once.

0306090120150 Q2 '24Q3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26 Days between launches All launches Large models

How often each line ships

Launches in the last two years, for lines with at least three. "Next" is the last launch plus the average gap: arithmetic, not inside knowledge. A line overdue by more than a whole gap is marked quiet; it has usually ended or merged into another. Providers rename and merge lines, which this cannot foresee.

ProviderLineSizeLaunchesAverage gapMedian gapLatestNext
Meta Muse Spark Large 4 49 days 28 days Muse Spark 1.32 Sep 2026 Around Oct 2026
OpenAI GPT Large 11 55 days 51 days GPT-6 Astra3 Sep 2026 Around Oct 2026
Z.ai GLM Large 7 63 days 58 days GLM-5.314 Aug 2026 Around Oct 2026
Moonshot AI Kimi Large 9 68 days 58 days Kimi K316 Jul 2026 Due Sep 2026; 9 days late
Anthropic Opus Large 8 70 days 70 days Claude Opus 5.522 Sep 2026 Around Dec 2026
MiniMax MiniMax Large 6 71 days 57 days MiniMax-M31 Jun 2026 Due Aug 2026; 51 days late
xAI Grok Large 9 73 days 50 days Grok 4.721 Sep 2026 Around Dec 2026
Anthropic Fable Large 3 74 days 74 days Claude Fable 5.11 Sep 2026 Around Nov 2026
DeepSeek V Large 9 76 days 76 days DeepSeek V4 Pro13 Aug 2026 Around Oct 2026
Google Flash Medium 7 105 days 95 days Gemini 3.8 Flash2 Sep 2026 Around Dec 2026
OpenAI GPT mini Medium 6 107 days 114 days GPT-6.1 Sol29 Sep 2026 Around Jan 2027
Alibaba Max Large 6 110 days 76 days Qwen3.8-Max3 Aug 2026 Around Nov 2026
Stepfun Step Large 3 114 days 114 days Step 5 Preview18 Sep 2026 Around Jan 2027
Anthropic Sonnet Medium 7 118 days 128 days Claude Sonnet 5.528 Sep 2026 Around Jan 2027
Alibaba Plus Medium 5 123 days 68 days Qwen3.7-Plus2 Jun 2026 Around Oct 2026
Alibaba Qwen open Medium 6 125 days 122 days Qwen 3.814 Aug 2026 Around Dec 2026
Mistral Small Small 5 129 days 100 days Mistral Small 416 Mar 2026 Due Jul 2026; 70 days late
OpenAI GPT nano Small 5 132 days 114 days GPT-6 Luna22 Sep 2026 Around Feb 2027
Alibaba Flash Small 5 166 days 76 days Qwen3.8 Flash26 Aug 2026 Around Feb 2027
Google Flash-Lite Small 4 177 days 140 days Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite21 Jul 2026 Around Jan 2027
Mistral Medium Medium 3 178 days 178 days Mistral Medium 3.528 Apr 2026 Around Oct 2026
Mistral Magistral Medium 4 33 days 44 days Magistral Small 1.218 Sep 2025 Quiet since Sep 2025
OpenAI Codex Medium 5 36 days 39 days GPT-5.3 Codex5 Feb 2026 Quiet since Feb 2026
OpenAI o-series Large 4 58 days 55 days o3-pro10 Jun 2025 Quiet since Jun 2025
Xiaomi MiMo Large 3 64 days 64 days MiMo-V2.523 Apr 2026 Quiet since Apr 2026
OpenAI GPT Pro Large 4 66 days 65 days GPT-5.5 Pro23 Apr 2026 Quiet since Apr 2026
DeepSeek R Large 3 94 days 94 days DeepSeek R1-052828 May 2025 Quiet since May 2025
Google Pro Large 5 95 days 67 days Gemini 3.1 Pro19 Feb 2026 Quiet since Feb 2026
xAI Grok mini Small 3 138 days 138 days Grok 4.1 Fast19 Nov 2025 Quiet since Nov 2025

Arena rating by launch date

Each launch's current Arena text rating, plotted at its launch date. The line is the best so far. Ratings are today's, not those on launch day, so older models look as they compare now.

115012001250130013501400145015001550 2024Jul2025Jul2026Jul Arena rating

Launches per quarter

Counted from the list below. Hover a bar for the split by provider.

Q1 '24
Q2 '24
Q3 '24
Q4 '24
Q1 '25
Q2 '25
Q3 '25
Q4 '25
Q1 '26
Q2 '26
Q3 '26
All 244 launches and their sources
DateModelLineSource
29 Sep 2026GPT-6.1 SolOpenAIGPT miniProvider
28 Sep 2026Claude Sonnet 5.5AnthropicSonnetProvider
22 Sep 2026GPT-6 SolOpenAIGPT miniProvider
22 Sep 2026GPT-6 LunaOpenAIGPT nanoProvider
22 Sep 2026Claude Opus 5.5AnthropicOpusProvider
21 Sep 2026Grok 4.7xAIGrokReference
18 Sep 2026Step 5 PreviewStepfunStepEpoch AI
10 Sep 2026DeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeekFlashProvider
3 Sep 2026GPT-6 AstraOpenAIGPTProvider
2 Sep 2026Muse Spark 1.3MetaMuse SparkReference
2 Sep 2026Gemini 3.8 FlashGoogleFlashProvider
1 Sep 2026Claude Fable 5.1AnthropicFableProvider
28 Aug 2026Tencent Hy4 previewTencentTencentEpoch AI
26 Aug 2026Qwen3.8 FlashAlibabaFlashEpoch AI
20 Aug 2026GLM-5.3-FlashZ.aiGLM smallEpoch AI
14 Aug 2026GLM-5.3Z.aiGLMReference
14 Aug 2026Qwen 3.8AlibabaQwen openEpoch AI
13 Aug 2026Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogleFlashProvider
13 Aug 2026DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeekVProvider
12 Aug 2026Grok 4.6xAIGrokReference
5 Aug 2026Muse Spark 1.2MetaMuse SparkReference
3 Aug 2026Qwen3.8-MaxAlibabaMaxReference
27 Jul 2026Qwen3.7 FlashAlibabaFlashEpoch AI
24 Jul 2026Claude Opus 5AnthropicOpusProvider
21 Jul 2026Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogleFlashProvider
21 Jul 2026Gemini 3.5 Flash-LiteGoogleFlash-LiteProvider
16 Jul 2026Kimi K3Moonshot AIKimiReference
15 Jul 2026Inkling-SmallThinkingmachinesInklingEpoch AI
15 Jul 2026InklingThinkingmachinesInklingEpoch AI
9 Jul 2026GPT-5.6 TerraOpenAIGPT miniProvider
9 Jul 2026GPT-5.6 SolOpenAIGPTProvider
9 Jul 2026GPT-5.6 LunaOpenAIGPT nanoProvider
9 Jul 2026Muse Spark 1.1MetaMuse SparkReference
8 Jul 2026Grok 4.5xAIGrokReference
30 Jun 2026Claude Sonnet 5AnthropicSonnetEpoch AI
16 Jun 2026GLM-5.2Z.aiGLMReference
12 Jun 2026Kimi K2.7 CodeMoonshot AIKimiEpoch AI
9 Jun 2026Claude Fable 5AnthropicFableProvider
4 Jun 2026Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIANemotronEpoch AI
2 Jun 2026Qwen3.7-PlusAlibabaPlusReference
1 Jun 2026MiniMax-M3MiniMaxMiniMaxEpoch AI
29 May 2026Grok Build 0.1xAIGrokEpoch AI
29 May 2026Step 3.7 FlashStepfunStepEpoch AI
28 May 2026Claude Opus 4.8AnthropicOpusProvider
20 May 2026Command A+CohereCommandEpoch AI
19 May 2026Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogleFlashProvider
19 May 2026Qwen3.7-MaxAlibabaMaxReference
5 May 2026GPT-5.5 InstantOpenAIGPTEpoch AI
28 Apr 2026Mistral Medium 3.5MistralMediumProvider
27 Apr 2026Qwen 3.6 FlashAlibabaFlashEpoch AI
24 Apr 2026DeepSeek V4 Pro (preview)DeepSeekVProvider
24 Apr 2026DeepSeek V4 Flash (preview)DeepSeekFlashProvider
23 Apr 2026MiMo-V2.5-ProXiaomiMiMoEpoch AI
23 Apr 2026MiMo-V2.5XiaomiMiMoEpoch AI
23 Apr 2026GPT-5.5 ProOpenAIGPT ProEpoch AI
23 Apr 2026GPT-5.5OpenAIGPTProvider
20 Apr 2026Kimi K2.6Moonshot AIKimiReference
20 Apr 2026Qwen 3.6 Max (Preview)AlibabaMaxEpoch AI
17 Apr 2026Grok 4.3xAIGrokReference
16 Apr 2026Claude Opus 4.7AnthropicOpusProvider
14 Apr 2026GPT-5.4-CyberOpenAIGPTEpoch AI
14 Apr 2026Qwen3.6AlibabaQwen openReference
8 Apr 2026Muse SparkMetaMuse SparkReference
7 Apr 2026GLM-5.1Z.aiGLMReference
7 Apr 2026Claude Mythos PreviewAnthropicFableEpoch AI
2 Apr 2026Gemma 4GoogleGemmaEpoch AI
31 Mar 2026Qwen3.6-PlusAlibabaPlusReference
18 Mar 2026MiMo-V2-ProXiaomiMiMoEpoch AI
18 Mar 2026MiniMax-M2.7MiniMaxMiniMaxEpoch AI
17 Mar 2026GPT-5.4 nanoOpenAIGPT nanoProvider
17 Mar 2026GPT-5.4 miniOpenAIGPT miniProvider
16 Mar 2026Mistral Small 4MistralSmallProvider
11 Mar 2026Nemotron 3 SuperNVIDIANemotronEpoch AI
5 Mar 2026GPT-5.4 ProOpenAIGPT ProEpoch AI
5 Mar 2026GPT-5.4OpenAIGPTProvider
3 Mar 2026Gemini 3.1 Flash-LiteGoogleFlash-LiteProvider
25 Feb 2026Qwen 3.5 FlashAlibabaFlashEpoch AI
19 Feb 2026Gemini 3.1 ProGoogleProProvider
17 Feb 2026Grok 4.20xAIGrokReference
17 Feb 2026Claude Sonnet 4.6AnthropicSonnetProvider
16 Feb 2026Qwen3.5-PlusAlibabaPlusReference
13 Feb 2026Qwen3.5AlibabaQwen openReference
12 Feb 2026GLM-5Z.aiGLMReference
12 Feb 2026MiniMax-M2.5MiniMaxMiniMaxEpoch AI
12 Feb 2026Gemini 3 Deep ThinkGoogleProEpoch AI
5 Feb 2026GPT-5.3 CodexOpenAICodexEpoch AI
5 Feb 2026Claude Opus 4.6AnthropicOpusProvider
2 Feb 2026Step 3.5 FlashStepfunStepEpoch AI
27 Jan 2026Kimi K2.5Moonshot AIKimiReference
23 Dec 2025MiniMax-M2.1MiniMaxMiniMaxEpoch AI
22 Dec 2025GLM-4.7Z.aiGLMReference
18 Dec 2025GPT-5.2 CodexOpenAICodexEpoch AI
17 Dec 2025Gemini 3 FlashGoogleFlashProvider
16 Dec 2025MiMo-V2-FlashXiaomiMiMoEpoch AI
11 Dec 2025GPT-5.2 ProOpenAIGPT ProEpoch AI
11 Dec 2025GPT-5.2OpenAIGPTProvider
9 Dec 2025Devstral Small 2MistralCodestralEpoch AI
2 Dec 2025Mistral Large 3MistralLargeProvider
2 Dec 2025Nova 2.0 Pro PreviewAmazonNovaEpoch AI
1 Dec 2025DeepSeek-V3.2-SpecialeDeepSeekVEpoch AI
1 Dec 2025DeepSeek V3.2DeepSeekVProvider
24 Nov 2025Claude Opus 4.5AnthropicOpusProvider
19 Nov 2025Grok 4.1 FastxAIGrok miniEpoch AI
19 Nov 2025GPT-5.1-Codex-MaxOpenAICodexEpoch AI
18 Nov 2025Gemini 3 ProGoogleProProvider
17 Nov 2025Grok 4.1xAIGrokReference
13 Nov 2025GPT-5.1OpenAIGPTProvider
12 Nov 2025GPT-5.1-Codex-miniOpenAICodexEpoch AI
12 Nov 2025GPT-5.1-CodexOpenAICodexEpoch AI
6 Nov 2025Kimi K2 ThinkingMoonshot AIKimiReference
27 Oct 2025MiniMax-M2MiniMaxMiniMaxEpoch AI
15 Oct 2025Claude Haiku 4.5AnthropicHaikuProvider
7 Oct 2025GPT-5 ProOpenAIGPT ProEpoch AI
30 Sep 2025GLM-4.6Z.aiGLMReference
29 Sep 2025DeepSeek V3.2-ExpDeepSeekVProvider
29 Sep 2025Claude Sonnet 4.5AnthropicSonnetProvider
24 Sep 2025Qwen3-MaxAlibabaMaxReference
22 Sep 2025DeepSeek V3.1-TerminusDeepSeekVProvider
19 Sep 2025Grok 4 FastxAIGrok miniReference
18 Sep 2025Magistral Small 1.2MistralMagistralEpoch AI
17 Sep 2025Magistral Medium 1.2MistralMagistralProvider
15 Sep 2025GPT-5-CodexOpenAICodexEpoch AI
5 Sep 2025Kimi K2 (0905)Moonshot AIKimiReference
21 Aug 2025DeepSeek V3.1DeepSeekVProvider
12 Aug 2025Mistral Medium 3.1MistralMediumProvider
7 Aug 2025GPT-5 nanoOpenAIGPT nanoProvider
7 Aug 2025GPT-5 miniOpenAIGPT miniProvider
7 Aug 2025GPT-5OpenAIGPTProvider
5 Aug 2025gpt-ossOpenAIgpt-ossEpoch AI
5 Aug 2025Claude Opus 4.1AnthropicOpusProvider
3 Aug 2025GLM-4.5Z.aiGLMReference
31 Jul 2025Qwen3-CoderAlibabaQwen openEpoch AI
24 Jul 2025Magistral Medium 1.1MistralMagistralProvider
20 Jul 2025GLM-4.5-AirZ.aiGLM smallEpoch AI
12 Jul 2025Kimi K2Moonshot AIKimiReference
9 Jul 2025Grok 4xAIGrokReference
20 Jun 2025Mistral Small 3.2MistralSmallProvider
17 Jun 2025Gemini 2.5 Flash-LiteGoogleFlash-LiteProvider
16 Jun 2025Kimi DevMoonshot AIKimiEpoch AI
13 Jun 2025MiniMax-M1-80kMiniMaxMiniMaxEpoch AI
10 Jun 2025o3-proOpenAIo-seriesEpoch AI
10 Jun 2025Magistral Small 1.0MistralMagistralEpoch AI
10 Jun 2025Magistral MediumMistralMagistralProvider
28 May 2025DeepSeek R1-0528DeepSeekRProvider
22 May 2025Claude Sonnet 4AnthropicSonnetProvider
22 May 2025Claude Opus 4AnthropicOpusProvider
7 May 2025Mistral Medium 3MistralMediumProvider
30 Apr 2025Phi-4-Reasoning-plusMicrosoftPhiEpoch AI
28 Apr 2025Qwen3AlibabaQwen openReference
17 Apr 2025Gemini 2.5 FlashGoogleFlashProvider
16 Apr 2025o4-miniOpenAIo-series miniProvider
16 Apr 2025o3OpenAIo-seriesProvider
14 Apr 2025GPT-4.1 nanoOpenAIGPT nanoProvider
14 Apr 2025GPT-4.1 miniOpenAIGPT miniProvider
14 Apr 2025GPT-4.1OpenAIGPTProvider
8 Apr 2025QWQ-PlusAlibabaPlusEpoch AI
5 Apr 2025Llama 4 ScoutMetaLlamaEpoch AI
5 Apr 2025Llama 4 MaverickMetaLlamaEpoch AI
5 Apr 2025Llama 4MetaLlamaProvider
25 Mar 2025Gemini 2.5 ProGoogleProProvider
25 Mar 2025DeepSeek V3-0324DeepSeekVProvider
25 Mar 2025QVQ-MaxAlibabaMaxEpoch AI
19 Mar 2025o1-proOpenAIo-seriesEpoch AI
17 Mar 2025Mistral Small 3.1MistralSmallProvider
11 Mar 2025Gemma 3GoogleGemmaEpoch AI
27 Feb 2025GPT-4.5OpenAIGPTProvider
27 Feb 2025Phi-4 MiniMicrosoftPhiEpoch AI
24 Feb 2025Claude 3.7 SonnetAnthropicSonnetProvider
17 Feb 2025Grok 3 minixAIGrok miniReference
17 Feb 2025Grok 3xAIGrokReference
17 Feb 2025Mistral SabaMistralMistralEpoch AI
5 Feb 2025Gemini 2.0 ProGoogleProEpoch AI
5 Feb 2025Gemini 2.0 Flash-LiteGoogleFlash-LiteProvider
31 Jan 2025o3-miniOpenAIo-series miniProvider
30 Jan 2025Mistral Small 3MistralSmallProvider
29 Jan 2025Qwen2.5-MaxAlibabaMaxReference
25 Jan 2025Qwen PlusAlibabaPlusEpoch AI
20 Jan 2025Kimi K1.5Moonshot AIKimiReference
20 Jan 2025DeepSeek-R1-Distill-QwenDeepSeekREpoch AI
20 Jan 2025DeepSeek-R1-Distill-LlamaDeepSeekREpoch AI
20 Jan 2025DeepSeek R1DeepSeekRProvider
13 Jan 2025CodestralMistralCodestralEpoch AI
26 Dec 2024DeepSeek V3DeepSeekVProvider
17 Dec 2024o1OpenAIo-seriesProvider
11 Dec 2024Gemini 2.0 FlashGoogleFlashProvider
10 Dec 2024DeepSeek V2.5-1210DeepSeekVProvider
6 Dec 2024Llama 3.3MetaLlamaReference
3 Dec 2024Amazon Nova ProAmazonAmazonEpoch AI
3 Dec 2024Amazon Nova MicroAmazonAmazonEpoch AI
3 Dec 2024Amazon Nova LiteAmazonAmazonEpoch AI
28 Nov 2024QwQ-PreviewAlibabaQwen openEpoch AI
20 Nov 2024DeepSeek R1-LiteDeepSeekRProvider
18 Nov 2024Pixtral LargeMistralLargeEpoch AI
18 Nov 2024Mistral Large 2.1MistralLargeProvider
1 Nov 2024Qwen-TurboAlibabaFlashEpoch AI
28 Oct 2024Doubao-proBytedanceDoubaoEpoch AI
22 Oct 2024Claude 3.5 Sonnet (October)AnthropicSonnetProvider
22 Oct 2024Claude 3.5 HaikuAnthropicHaikuProvider
16 Oct 2024MinistralMistralSmallEpoch AI
25 Sep 2024Llama 3.2MetaLlamaProvider
18 Sep 2024Qwen2.5-CoderAlibabaQwen openEpoch AI
17 Sep 2024PixtralMistralPixtralEpoch AI
17 Sep 2024Mistral Small v24.09MistralSmallEpoch AI
17 Sep 2024Mistral Small (24.09)MistralSmallProvider
17 Sep 2024Qwen2.5AlibabaQwen openReference
12 Sep 2024o1-previewOpenAIo-seriesProvider
12 Sep 2024o1-miniOpenAIo-series miniProvider
5 Sep 2024DeepSeek V2.5DeepSeekVProvider
30 Aug 2024Command R+CohereCommandEpoch AI
17 Aug 2024Phi-3.5MicrosoftPhiEpoch AI
16 Aug 2024Phi-3.5-miniMicrosoftPhiEpoch AI
14 Aug 2024Grok 2xAIGrokReference
13 Aug 2024Grok-2 minixAIGrok miniEpoch AI
24 Jul 2024Mistral Large 2MistralLargeProvider
23 Jul 2024Llama 3.1MetaLlamaProvider
18 Jul 2024GPT-4o miniOpenAIGPT miniProvider
18 Jul 2024Mistral NeMoMistralSmallEpoch AI
16 Jul 2024Codestral MambaMistralCodestralEpoch AI
24 Jun 2024Gemma 2GoogleGemmaEpoch AI
20 Jun 2024Claude 3.5 SonnetAnthropicSonnetProvider
17 Jun 2024DeepSeek-Coder-V2DeepSeekCoderEpoch AI
14 Jun 2024Nemotron-4NVIDIANemotronEpoch AI
7 Jun 2024Qwen2AlibabaQwen openEpoch AI
27 May 2024Mistral v0.3MistralMistralEpoch AI
13 May 2024GPT-4oOpenAIGPTProvider
10 May 2024Gemini 1.5 FlashGoogleFlashProvider
7 May 2024DeepSeek-V2DeepSeekVEpoch AI
23 Apr 2024phi-3-smallMicrosoftphiEpoch AI
23 Apr 2024phi-3-miniMicrosoftphiEpoch AI
23 Apr 2024phi-3-mediumMicrosoftphiEpoch AI
18 Apr 2024Llama 3MetaLlamaProvider
17 Apr 2024MixtralMistralMixtralEpoch AI
15 Apr 2024WizardLM-2MicrosoftWizardLMEpoch AI
9 Apr 2024Gemini 1.5 ProGoogleProProvider
13 Mar 2024Claude 3 HaikuAnthropicHaikuProvider
4 Mar 2024Claude 3 SonnetAnthropicSonnetProvider
4 Mar 2024Claude 3 OpusAnthropicOpusProvider
26 Feb 2024Mistral Small (2402)MistralSmallProvider
26 Feb 2024Mistral Large (2402)MistralLargeProvider
21 Feb 2024GemmaGoogleGemmaEpoch AI
4 Feb 2024Qwen1.5AlibabaQwen openEpoch AI
25 Jan 2024GPT-4 TurboOpenAIGPTEpoch AI
25 Jan 2024GPT-3.5 TurboOpenAIGPTEpoch AI
17 Jan 2024GLM-4Z.aiGLMEpoch AI

A launch is the first day a model was publicly available, previews included; a family's sizes released together count once, and later dated updates of a model are left out. Main lines are checked by hand against each provider's own changelog or announcement where we could read it ("Provider"), otherwise a reference page ("Reference"). The rest come from Epoch AI's model data (CC BY 4.0, "Epoch AI"). The timeline shows providers with at least four launches since 2024. Spotted a missing launch? Tell us.